Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.001037 0.001182 0.001329 0.001488 0.001656 0.001827 0.002013
2025-03-23 0.000814 0.001034 0.001266 0.001529 0.001814 0.002112 0.002445
2025-03-30 0.000609 0.000879 0.001180 0.001532 0.001926 0.002349 0.002832
2025-04-06 0.000456 0.000761 0.001120 0.001556 0.002058 0.002607 0.003243
2025-04-13 0.000344 0.000675 0.001087 0.001604 0.002212 0.002889 0.003684
2025-04-20 0.000214 0.000541 0.000979 0.001553 0.002247 0.003033 0.003969
2025-04-27 0.000117 0.000424 0.000877 0.001498 0.002270 0.003160 0.004232
2025-05-04 0.000075 0.000378 0.000863 0.001549 0.002416 0.003426 0.004652
2025-05-11 0.000028 0.000295 0.000784 0.001508 0.002445 0.003553 0.004910
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000204 0.000677 0.001420 0.002409 0.003597 0.005069
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000150 0.000614 0.001385 0.002436 0.003713 0.005308
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000097 0.000539 0.001326 0.002426 0.003782 0.005490
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000057 0.000483 0.001302 0.002479 0.003949 0.005816
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000040 0.000474 0.001353 0.002637 0.004252 0.006312
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000021 0.000441 0.001365 0.002743 0.004495 0.006742
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000009 0.000421 0.001394 0.002873 0.004769 0.007213
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000003 0.000412 0.001443 0.003032 0.005081 0.007731
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.000354 0.001397 0.003055 0.005219 0.008038
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000298 0.001347 0.003068 0.005343 0.008326
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000295 0.001397 0.003224 0.005651 0.008840
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000251 0.001359 0.003250 0.005787 0.009142
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000191 0.001275 0.003203 0.005826 0.009321
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000158 0.001243 0.003229 0.005960 0.009616